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7/24 - Wow. Carnage.

Another crushing day for the bulls. Hard core slaughter. Indexes started down on the morning and continued. I am out of a number of trades. Fortunately, I am up on the day. Not too long ago I was bearish, I turned a little neutral to bullish and since then the SPX has lost nearly 50pts. I am glad I don't trade in size based on emotion. I believe that may have saved me here . My MO has been to enter "emotional trades" on very very small size if at all. I am about even on all of those. My gainers have been looking for pricing discrepancies. I have been just ok on direction. i.e. IACI, HPQ, SPF.

It looks like short term support will be found at its previous low. 150.70. Awesome moves.

I also just finished, A Demon of our own Design by Richard Bookstaber. While it may not make me a better trader after putting down the book, I did find it to be quite interesting. I also like his conclusion,

"Simpler financial instruments and less leverage make up a painfully obvious prescription for fixing the design of our markets." ",simpler financial instruments and less leverage will create a market that is more robust and survivable."

Maybe in finding some simple approaches, and refining them through time I can continue to grow my account in this market. I know many "traders" who go to the FX market for their excitement. That is not my cup of tea anymore. It is exciting, and dare I say fun. Aggressively trading Treasury and FX futures for 3 years held excitement, profits/losses, and some sleepless nights. No more of that for me.

I have found that we get what we want out of the market (Law of Attraction). If the trader/investor wants excitement, that is what he/she will find. Anguish, that is there too. I want a living, steady net profit, mental growth and exercise. I like to keep it pretty basic. I like to understand the fundamentals of stock movement and option dynamics, while countering human emotion in the market. That is what I have been getting. No thrills needed. I am developing my style. I'm going on a bike ride now. I'll let the TOS monkey monitor my desk.

HPIM0448.JPG


Here are the moves of my day.

CREE - I am down to 2 units of the 30c. I sold the remaining 25p Calendars for .30, 30c calendars for as high as .34. What a nice trade.

HPQ - I don't like being forced out of this one (47.87), but I will take the $1.50 gain gladly.

IACI - plunged again. The 32.5-30p spread has double in value. I don't see any real support until it gets to 29.70. This trade goes theta positive @ 31.30.

AMT - It is down on the day. I didn't have a chance to exit before it was near the uptrend line. I took off my 45-50c spread at a .03 loss. The 42.5-47.5c spread is off about .50. Below the underlying price of 43.20 and I am out.

BTU - looks pretty bad. Fortunately, I made initial money on my vertical put spread. But my butterfly with adjustments is not working out.

SPF - is taking an absolute beating. It is down 30% since I bought the stock. I have been hedging this with put options. The kept the loss to about 11%. But damn. I don't like to watch that go do down so much. Currently it is being hedged with Aug 17.5p options. The underlying is 15.80.

Rack - 12.5p sept/aug calendar is performing well.

DTV - There is potential to work the play I put together over the weekend


I was significantly delta positive going into this day, yet my acct is slightly up. I feel very fortunate. The Volatility skewed sideways portfolio handled today well. The bears are certainly smiling today.

My current plays include:
BULLISH
CLF butterfly
AMT - Bull call spread
DTV - Calendar
SPF - Dynamic Hedge
BUD - Calendar
BTU - former butterfly

Sideways plays -
DTV - Calendar
MFE - Calendarr
CREE - Calendar
WWY - Calendar
RACK - Calendar

Bearish -
IACI - bear put
WWY - Calendar
ABI - Calendarrr

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on July 24, 2007 1:14 PM.

The previous post in this blog was Big Brother may pay you to submit.

The next post in this blog is 7/25 - Boing, Kaplunk.

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