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Oct 12th - Resilient

re·sil·ient /rɪˈzɪlyənt, -ˈzɪliənt/ Pronunciation Key - Show Spelled Pronunciation[ri-zil-yuhnt, -zil-ee-uhnt] Pronunciation Key
–adjective
1. springing back; rebounding.
2. returning to the original form or position after being bent, compressed, or stretched.
3. recovering readily from illness, depression, adversity, or the like; buoyant.
[Origin: 1635–45; < L resilient- (s. of resiliéns), prp. of resilīre to spring back, equiv. to re- re- + -sil-, comb. form of salīre to leap, jump + -ent- -ent); see salient]

The market sprung back from a pretty wicked late day selloff yesterday. BIDU took a beating, up 8 today. STV - China Digital TV Was creamed yesterday. Today up 20! off of yesterday's lows. Sheesh. I would have bought that on the open if I could have got it in the 20's or even low 30's. Speculation is alive and well.

Blake Shelton - not me, but we have all seen it.

I have been selective in my moves today. The bear inside me had me step in front of the IWM @ the 61.8% retracement from yesterday's move.

UTHR - picked up another unit of this trade (70p calendar) for .10, then immediately sold it for nice morning profit. However, someone else who bought 30 contracts ahead of me. I hope it was someone reading this. And if so they can spend it on their lessons in Breckenridge this season. Right now the spread is mid-marking underwater, but that is pretty common when the spread, as the feb 70p option is so incredibly wide.

IWM - 85/81p for 1.41 @ 83.97. Would two days of an afternoon selloff be too much to ask?

ACN - done, exited... finished. I am out on the final unit @ .55. This has been a good trade, but with the underlying breaking out above 42, my Oct/Nov 40p calendar needed to be exited. The Oct was not providing adequate protection for my Nov. Purchased for .25-.30, exited between .50-.65. I also repurchased @ .40 and .45. And traded in and out of this spread over the past few weeks.

MEDX - Exited 1 unit of Jan/Feb 15p for .15. This trade is getting long in the tooth. Patience. I still have 3 units of this trade on.

PPCO - Exited 3 units of this for .16. Nice .20 per spread (after commission) profit on this trade.

USB - Bought 1 unit 32.5c for .04 and .03. I wasn't able to put more on. bummer. I am pretty loaded on this trade, but with earnings coming out next week it should open up this spread. 8 units in total (about 160 contracts). Earnings on Oct 16th! Because this is a Call Calendar I must keep an eye on the Dividend Risk. The last Ex-dividend was Sept 26, 2007, the next is in December. So I should be safe here. The Dividend is .40 per quarter, so it could hurt if I was hit with that. Right now there is 1.20 in extrinsic value. I am looking to keep the extrinsic above dividend. That should keep me safe.

NFLX- Bought 3 units so far. 1/2 units @ .35 and .33, then 3 units @ .30. the Nov Imp Volatility is 63%, and the Dec is 53%. Earnings are Monday, Oct 22nd, aftermarket. I like having two weekends of Theta Decay between now and then. It will be interesting to see what happens to volatility prior to earnings. 3.5:1 reward to risk, pre-volatility crush

NFLX Chart with Expiration @ Nov 16
NFLX%2010.12.gif

The LOGI (Nov/Dec 30p) trade is looking good. Up 1/4 of its 4:1 reward to risk ratio. A weekend will do it some good. (slightly ITM)
NVLS (Nov/Dec 27.5p) is doing well too. it hasn't moved much in the past 3 days, but again, the weekend should work wonders. (slightly OTM)

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on October 12, 2007 11:55 AM.

The previous post in this blog was 10/11 - I've got to get away.

The next post in this blog is The best summer in Summit.

Many more can be found on the Jonathan Lawson Main Page or by looking through the archives.

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