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Oct 24- Somedays you feel like a nut, somedays you don't

Hot damn, on somedays it just works out. The Market is getting crushed in the morning session. I have placed some bullish directional bets on certain issues. Bullish on interest rate instruments (TLT), and on Nat Gas (UNG and PBH). I am generally bearish on the market, but I am not playing that, rather my calendar trades are working well today (actually all summer and fall too.)

The Summit County weather is beautiful. 36* mid-morning. Just thinking of some skiing. This was a mid-winter day with a couple of my students

Trades entered today:

TLT - iShares 20+ yr bond trust. I bought it on the breakout 100sh @ 90.61. It is up nicely. As uncertainty increases, so should this issue. This also pays a 4.57% dividend (1/12 paid monthly). Interest and appreciation, ya gotta love it.

ADM - Exited 1 unit Nov/Dec 35p for .41. I bought these for .25, but I don't like the way the chart is looking, so I will take my profit and be pleased.

UTHR - In and out in a day for a great profit on this trade. I put the trade on (3 units for .10) before I went to lunch, then during lunch I exited the first level @ .40. I walked into one of the local ski shops and they had a summer sale on the skis I have been on for 2 years. I wanted to get a new pair, as my Nordica Top Fuels have more than 220 days on them. The price ticket said $620 reduced from $1100. I thought not bad, but that is just about what I get them for Pro Form. Then I received a phone alert for another unit sold @ .45, NICE. Then he told me, "Oh, we have these on sale on Ebay for $450 (skis and bindings). Would you want them for that price?" About 5 seconds after he said that my phone went off for my third level, .50" Damn, it was just meant to be. I used about 1/3 of my profit on that trade for ski equipment for the year. Very Nice!

Trade updates -
UNG - up nicely from yesterdays low due to a lowered Nat Gas inventory report. This doesn't offer a dividend, but I like this chart as we move into fall and winter.

PGH - is about a scratch, but it does earn about 1.2% a month in Dividends. That is fine with me, however I do like the Gartley Pattern that this trade has exhibited.

NVLS - the Nov/Dec 27.5 opened up very well today above .50. I am just about at a double, i will start to lighten up as I double this trade, but the chart still looks great in keeping the underlying in the sweet spot.

VRSN - sitting right in the channel between the 32.5 and the 35 strikes

USB - The 32.5c Dec/Jan opened up on Monday, but I think we have a lot more potential. I sold 1/2 unit @ .20 this morning.

NFLX - Nov/Dec 25c look good as the underlying sits at 25, and the spread is between .525-.60 I will hold onto this and monitor the risk graph. I own two units, and have already made a handsome profit from my sales of last thursday, and yesterday. These last two units should expand in the next week or two.

Just so you know, a friend of mine picked up 4 seats for Game 5 @ Coors Field on Monday! She bought them during yesterday's online sale. $125 each. Row 107 on the Aisle, in right field just above the Bullpen! Two of them have my name on them!! EXCELLENT. Those tickets can be scalped for $1200-$1500... Crazy!!! I am going to the game, how often does one get the chance to go to game 5 at home. Come on Sox, just win game 2. GO ROCKIES!!!

Here is some technical analysis that probably holds some truth:

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These are fun Picts from a beautiful day in Breckenridge. I like having my camera back

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on October 24, 2007 9:19 AM.

The previous post in this blog was October 23 - Turning on the computers for Tuesday..

The next post in this blog is Gearing up for Dec calendars..

Many more can be found on the Jonathan Lawson Main Page or by looking through the archives.

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