« December 9th - Holy Cow, the Mtn looks good | Jonathan Lawson Main Page | 12/11 - FED day, 1/4 point rate drop. The market HATES it. »

12/10 - Squeezing me before the Fed announcement

I am getting punished for my sideways strategies of late. I must admit the rally is at the very top end of what I thought was possible. The market has just went up and up and up. I was in a similar place when the market was going down, down and down. It seems to be a bi-product of having the calendar spread as a primary strategy when Volatility is relatively high.

UBS is taking a $10 BILLION charge, so the stock goes up 2%. Bank of America decides to close a money-mkt type fund for institutional investors. "We can make money right now", what the hell lets lift that stock up 3%. Bulls rejoice!?!? What is up with that? I guess this is what a bull run feels like. All news is good news. Don't worry banks, the government won't let you down.

I doubt I will be finding my "secret" strategy for another 5 or 6 months. So now I must trade like many investors. I am not finding many 3x returns in a week. That is ok, there are always seasons.

My portfolio is down 7% since friday. But the good news is that I am positive on 4 of 7 current positions since opening. Unfortunately, 6 of 7 positions are down on the day. Since inception of current positions the ave positive is 4 times more profitable than my losers. I still don't like losers, but that is just part of the deal.

At this point I am 24% invested, 76% in cash. I just have no idea what the effects of the fed will be. I am biased to the downside at this point. At SPX of 1516, I have 1200 negative deltas, and 621 theta points. If the market retraces some of it's recent rally, I will be very pleased.

USB - Exited 2 units of 32.5c calendar for .30. I took a little off the table as the underlying moved to it's upper support range.

ADCT - entered 3 units of Feb/Jan 17.5p calendar for .16-.17 as a hedge for my previously entered Feb/Jan 15p calendar.

Here is the video from yesterday's skiing: At least the skiing is going my way

If you trade online, get this book. It is OUTSTANDING! Click the link and go over the reviews. I am devouring this book, great info and different than anything I have read before.

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://mysnowpro.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/347

Post a comment

(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)

mySnowPro.com's Free Monthly Report

sign up here! we will
never share your email!
Name:
Email:

About

This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on December 10, 2007 10:33 AM.

The previous post in this blog was December 9th - Holy Cow, the Mtn looks good.

The next post in this blog is 12/11 - FED day, 1/4 point rate drop. The market HATES it..

Many more can be found on the Jonathan Lawson Main Page or by looking through the archives.

Sponsored Links

Sponsored Links

Featured Authors