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4/22 - Sucker's Game

Swing trading my way to losses. What a sucker's game directional trading is. A frickin' sucker's game.

RIMM - JuneSold 130/145c for a 25% loss. A bear trap that snagged me. Within seconds the price started to recover. Then fell again.

AEM - dropped below my stop, I got out, then it moved back up above my purch price.

CHD - Stopped out @ 55.72. Then it continued to fall.

The good news is that due to "Smart Trading', selling options with non-directional strategies my acct is up nearly 2%, although evaporating as the day moves on.

TXN has run the gauntlet of earnings, and it is off today. The current breakevens remain between 28.2 and 32.15. A very nice risk reward remains, but disappointing that I didn't cover half of the spreads at the open.

RIO - 40 calendar remains in good shape

AIG puts are looking good too. I am starting to peel them off at the 61.8% fib level. Sold May 45p @ 2.07, 2.09

A trade from the past. HON - I rolled a few, NOT enough from April to May. Now the price action on HON is mocking me. Dropping below 59, The spreads which I rolled for .95 credit (should have been all of them) are now worth .60. That would have been a nice profit rather than a fat loss. Lesson - don't be greedy on the rolls.

XLE - as I mentioned a few days ago was a dumb entry for me. I was taking a beating on that earlier today. I had a May/Jun 77p for about 1.10. The market has moved high the past few days. The spread was as cheap as .85 this morning, and it was in a theta decay negative position. Never what I want from a calendar spread. On a below trendline break I managed to get out between 1.05 and 1.08. My loss was as much as 23%, I pared it back to just a few cents. What a goofy trade. I feel good for taking this junk off. I still have a few spreads on. I guess I caught a volatility spike in the put side. That got me out at a good price. (Huge put buying in the May XLE)

When all was said and done, I was up 1.3% on the day. I was really down on myself early, but the acct came back. I am well positioned for an up tick tomorrow.

I close out the day with:
Deltas 16.6 positive deltas (SPX weighted)
Theta 270
Vega 678

I am very pleased to be in this spot. Basically I am in good shape between 67 and 72 on the IWM which translates to 1345 and 1410 on the SPX. Ideal.

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on April 22, 2008 8:22 AM.

The previous post in this blog was 4/21 -Closing day at the ski area.

The next post in this blog is April 23 - I'm trading this day well.

Many more can be found on the Jonathan Lawson Main Page or by looking through the archives.

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